Experimental Bets of the Day — 2026-06-13
Status: exploratory, $1-base only. Slice 6 multi-leg wagers are RECOMMENDED-only in v1. 2023 backtest (post chart re-ingest, 2026-04-28) shows DD top_2_box ROI is −5.1% overall (was −30% before base correction); P3 top_2_box is +6.4% positive.
Daily Doubles (top-2 box, $4 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Legs |
Hit Prob |
Note |
| LBG R5 → R6 |
[2,3] / [3,5] |
59.1% |
|
| PRM R7 → R8 |
[3,1] / [8,6] |
54.8% |
|
| LBG R6 → R7 |
[3,5] / [7,6] |
54.3% |
|
| LRL R1 → R2 |
[10,3] / [1,3] |
53.2% |
|
| PRM R6 → R7 |
[2,4] / [3,1] |
50.9% |
|
Pick 3s (3×3×3 box, $27 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Structure |
Hit Prob |
| PRM R6-7-8 |
[2,4,6] / [3,1,5] / [8,6,1] |
66.0% |
| PRM R7-8-9 |
[3,1,5] / [8,6,1] / [6,4,8] |
65.7% |
| LBG R5-6-7 |
[2,3,5] / [3,5,4] / [7,6,5] |
65.4% |
| LBG R4-5-6 |
[4,5,6] / [2,3,5] / [3,5,4] |
62.3% |
| CBY R1-2-3 |
[4,5,1] / [2,1,4] / [2,4,1] |
61.5% |
Why these are experimental
- Horizontal multi-leg (DD/P3) remains
RECOMMENDED-only in v1. Corrected 2023 backtest (post 2026-04-28 chart re-ingest + per-pool base fix): DD ROI −13.8% (coverage) / −5.1% (top_2_box); P3 ROI −2.6% (coverage) / +6.4% (top_2_box, positive).
- DD
top_2_box is the production default. Per-track variance still wide; use per-track judgment before committing real capital.
- P3 strategy switch to
top_2_box is the queued next change — backtest now shows positive ROI but live validation is still TBD.
- Recommended use: $1 base, track CLV + hit rate for calibration.