Experimental Bets of the Day — 2026-05-17
Status: exploratory, $1-base only. Slice 6 multi-leg wagers are RECOMMENDED-only in v1. 2023 backtest (post chart re-ingest, 2026-04-28) shows DD top_2_box ROI is −5.1% overall (was −30% before base correction); P3 top_2_box is +6.4% positive.
Daily Doubles (top-2 box, $4 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Legs |
Hit Prob |
Note |
| SA R3 → R4 |
[3,1] / [1,3] |
100.0% |
|
| SA R4 → R5 |
[1,3] / [9,4] |
100.0% |
|
| SA R7 → R8 |
[3,8] / [6,8] |
100.0% |
|
| SA R8 → R9 |
[6,8] / [13,1] |
100.0% |
|
| LS R4 → R5 |
[4,3] / [2,7] |
99.7% |
|
Pick 3s (3×3×3 box, $27 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Structure |
Hit Prob |
| SA R3-4-5 |
[3,1,2] / [1,3,5] / [9,4,10] |
100.0% |
| SA R7-8-9 |
[3,8,4] / [6,8,5] / [13,1,11] |
100.0% |
| GP R6-7-8 |
[2,12,10] / [2,7,1] / [1,6,2] |
99.9% |
| SA R2-3-4 |
[5,7,4] / [3,1,2] / [1,3,5] |
99.7% |
| CMR R3-4-5 |
[2,5,7] / [5,4,1] / [2,1,3] |
99.7% |
Why these are experimental
- Horizontal multi-leg (DD/P3) remains
RECOMMENDED-only in v1. Corrected 2023 backtest (post 2026-04-28 chart re-ingest + per-pool base fix): DD ROI −13.8% (coverage) / −5.1% (top_2_box); P3 ROI −2.6% (coverage) / +6.4% (top_2_box, positive).
- DD
top_2_box is the production default. Per-track variance still wide; use per-track judgment before committing real capital.
- P3 strategy switch to
top_2_box is the queued next change — backtest now shows positive ROI but live validation is still TBD.
- Recommended use: $1 base, track CLV + hit rate for calibration.