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Caprock Stakes Daily picks · exotics · value bets

Daily Picks — May 4, 2026

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Generated by Caprock Stakes · model vlatest · top 5 per race

LAD
Louisiana DownsFirst post 4:05 PM CT · 7 races · Exotics →
model vlatest·top 5 per race
R1 4:05 PM CT CLM 5,0007.0FDIRTFT $10K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5Purrrfect RhythmJ · Barrera Elio J · T · Gibson Jonas 2/1 44.4% 92.8% 100.0% +33.1% 2.71 32.0
2 3A Million StarsJ · Nieves Emanuel · T · Johnson Jr Henry B 8/1 24.5% 48.2% 72.5% +120.5% 4.30 22.3
3 1Home VisitJ · Castillo Alexander · T · Lara Jorge 1/1 16.0% 30.4% 45.2% -68.0% 2.54 33.1
4 4Izzy'S Baby BoyJ · Nava-Marin Jose · T · Turner Patti 3/1 11.8% 22.4% 33.3% -52.9% 1.54 40.9
5 2Muffin NutsJ · Pena Jonuelle · T · Turner Patti 12/1 3.4% 6.2% 9.2% -56.1% 3.90 27.0
superfectaSUPER: A[5]/B[3,1,4,2]/C[3,1,4,2]/D[3,1,4,2]
$6.40 edge+6.7% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[5,3]/B[5,3,1,4,2]/C[5,3,1,4,2]
$48.00 edge+5.0% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [5,3] BOX
$4.00 edge+4.0% kelly0.00%
R2 4:33 PM CT MSW7.0FDIRTFT $7K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5Well ReceivedJ · Hernandez Harry · T · Wong Jonathan 1/1 36.9% 75.5% 100.0% -26.2% 2.42 20.5
2 1ShezadevilJ · Nieves Emanuel · T · Diodoro Robertino 2/1 33.4% 68.4% 100.0% +0.3% 2.06 21.8 (2pp)
3 2Andale MuchachaJ · Dominguez Joel · T · Richey Tony J 3.5 17.6% 33.7% 50.2% -20.9% 2.92 17.1
4 3Rainy DayJ · Santiago Edward · T · Hatcher Nathan D 15/1 7.5% 13.9% 20.6% +19.5% 4.74 7.4
5 4Shelbi'S StarJ · Castillo Alexander · T · Nelson Jr Eric D 6/1 4.6% 8.5% 12.6% -67.9% 2.85 18.4
R3 5:01 PM CT MSW8.0FTURFFT $26K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5Lost ArtJ · Dominguez Joel · T · Duhon Joe O 1.2 33.8% 70.4% 100.0% -25.6% 3.60 20.9
2 3Show' Em NolaJ · Santiago Edward · T · West Jr Henry 3/1 21.5% 43.3% 65.4% -14.0% 1.00 45.8
3 4Lil Bit ForgottenJ · Rodriguez Jairo · T · Hargrave Kenneth L 8/1 17.7% 34.6% 51.5% +59.5% 4.75 9.1
4 1Flower GirlJ · Barrera Elio J · T · Duhon Joe O 8/1 12.5% 24.4% 36.4% +12.7% 5.73 7.2
5 2Goodmorning GracieJ · Castillo Alexander · T · Foster Joseph M 4/1 9.3% 17.6% 26.2% -53.4% 2.94 24.4
R4 5:29 PM CT CLM 5,0008.3FDIRTFT $10K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 6Sir MackJ · Murray Erica M · T · Schmidt Denise 1.5 36.7% 76.0% 100.0% -8.3% 2.44 26.8
2 1Due We DareJ · Barrera Elio J · T · Pedigo Randy 4.5 24.5% 49.2% 74.2% +34.9% 2.44 26.9
3 4Go Brother GoJ · Dominguez Joel · T · Ramirez Rosa E 12/1 18.0% 34.9% 52.0% +133.8% 2.34 27.9
4 3Cali DreaminJ · Castillo Alexander · T · Lara Jorge 2/1 11.5% 22.4% 33.3% -65.4% 3.66 23.0
5 5Midnight HaloJ · Williams Rey · T · Foster Joseph M 5/1 6.1% 11.4% 17.0% -63.6% 4.22 23.1
R5 5:57 PM CT CLM 5,0007.0FDIRTFT $8K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 6BarricadeJ · Hernandez Harry · T · Wong Jonathan 0.8 30.8% 64.0% 96.6% -44.5% 2.12 44.0
2 2CryptozonicJ · Dominguez Joel · T · Gibson Jonas 3.5 21.6% 43.4% 65.5% -2.9% 2.76 41.1
3 5Stans Home RunJ · Vargas Juan P · T · Jacks Karen E 5/1 19.7% 38.5% 57.3% +18.4% 2.70 41.6
4 1Face ValueJ · Castillo Alexander · T · Espinoza Edgar 10/1 12.7% 24.8% 36.9% +39.9% 5.21 28.9
5 4Z Z'S PrinceJ · Murray Erica M · T · Schmidt Denise 6/1 11.2% 21.9% 32.6% -21.4% 3.53 38.2
R6 6:25 PM CT CLM 10,0007.5FTURFFT $12K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5Prince PerfectaJ · Dominguez Joel · T · Johnson Jr Henry B 3.5 22.7% 46.8% 70.9% +2.2% 2.18 30.8
2 3Lewis MemorialJ · Ramirez Jr Julio · T · Ramirez Rosa E 4/1 19.6% 39.0% 58.4% -2.2% 2.70 29.0
3 8Parole DramaJ · Hernandez Javier A · T · Pomier Chasey Deville 6/1 15.5% 30.9% 46.2% +8.4% 3.36 26.9
4 7M L Brody'S GemJ · Nava-Marin Jose · T · Lorefice Matthew F 8/1 13.1% 26.1% 39.1% +17.8% 5.07 21.0
5 2Randy DaytonaJ · Williams Rey · T · Melancon Donald 8/1 12.9% 25.8% 38.6% +16.5% 6.66 16.0
superfectaSUPER: A[5]/B[3,8,7,2]/C[3,8,7,2]/D[3,8,7,2]
$6.40 edge+3.1% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[5,3,8]/B[5,3,8,7,2,6]/C[5,3,8,7,2,6,1]
$150.00 edge+1.6% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [5,3,8] BOX
$12.00 edge+0.8% kelly0.00%
R7 6:53 PM CT CLM 5,0005.5FDIRTFT $8K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 4Custom CadillacJ · Hernandez Harry · T · Broussard Jervon 6/1 22.9% 46.4% 69.9% +60.1% 2.93 35.4
2 7Chez WhizJ · Lozada Carlos · T · Cravens Iii Ronnie E 5/1 21.5% 43.6% 65.6% +28.8% 2.48 37.7
3 6Violent RiverJ · Dominguez Joel · T · Gibson Jonas 8/1 20.0% 40.7% 61.3% +80.4% 5.47 27.6
4 2Safe BetJ · Hernandez Javier A · T · Govea Cesar 12/1 13.2% 25.9% 38.6% +71.4% 5.75 27.3
5 1Speightful OneJ · Rodriguez Jairo · T · Wong Jonathan 0.8 12.0% 23.5% 35.0% -78.4% 3.45 33.5
superfectaSUPER: A[4]/B[7,6,2,1]/C[7,6,2,1]/D[7,6,2,1]
$6.40 edge+36.5% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[4,7,6]/B[4,7,6,2,1,3]/C[4,7,6,2,1,3,8]
$150.00 edge+11.4% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [4,7,6] BOX
$12.00 edge+3.5% kelly0.00%
MNR
MountaineerFirst post 7:00 PM ET · 8 races · Exotics →
model vlatest·top 5 per race
R1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE EARNED A RATING NUMBER OF 50 TO 35 AT TIME OF ENTRY. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs. 7:00 PM ET STK6.0FDIRTFT $11K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 3Parade Of FearsJ · Tapara Luis · T · Bernardini Jay P 2/1 18.9% 37.9% 56.9% -43.2% 7.43 38.1
2 6Prince PrancealotJ · Garcia Francisco · T · Silva Juan Pablo 5/1 14.7% 29.5% 44.2% -11.8% 2.87 53.1
3 2BreezerJ · Yaranga Yuri · T · Fletcher Jeff 3.5 14.4% 28.7% 43.1% -35.4% 6.69 40.6
4 1Priority LaneJ · Whitacre Brandon · T · Bernardini Jay P 8/1 14.3% 28.6% 42.8% +28.3% 3.87 46.9
5 8Dance CodeJ · Negron Luis · T · Vazquez Juan C 12/1 12.1% 24.2% 36.3% +57.1% 1.76 55.1
exactaEX: [3,6,2] BOX
$12.00 edge+1.9% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[3,6,2]/B[3,6,2,1,8,7]/C[3,6,2,1,8,7,5]
$150.00 edge+0.6% kelly0.00%
R2 7:25 PM ET ALW5.5FDIRTFT $15K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 6Force Of JusticeJ · Barrios Ricardo · T · Demczyk Virginia 2/1 28.5% 58.8% 89.0% -14.6% 4.34 50.7
2 9Jedi'S WayJ · Tapara Luis · T · Bernardini Jay P 10/1 18.9% 37.9% 56.6% +108.4% 1.49 65.9
3 4Speighty WarJ · Monserrate Jr Jorge A · T · Crago Terry J 6/1 13.7% 27.4% 40.9% -4.1% 6.13 35.6
4 7El OndeadoJ · Whitacre Brandon · T · Cluley Denis 10/1 12.9% 25.7% 38.4% +41.4% 4.69 41.6
5 2Gates Of HeavenJ · Stokes Joe · T · Stansbury Julie 3/1 9.8% 18.9% 28.3% -60.8% 3.17 46.2
superfectaSUPER: A[9]/B[6,4,7,2]/C[6,4,7,2]/D[6,4,7,2]
$6.40 edge+6.9% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[6,9,4]/B[6,9,4,7,2,3]/C[6,9,4,7,2,3,8]
$150.00 edge+4.4% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [6,9,4] BOX
$12.00 edge+2.9% kelly0.00%
R3 7:50 PM ET CLM 12,5006.0FDIRTFT $12K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 7R CandyJ · Whitacre Brandon · T · Bernardini Jay P 4.5 24.7% 50.7% 76.5% +35.6% 5.52 18.6
2 3She GrinsJ · Radosevich Joshua J · T · Eder Justine 2/1 20.2% 41.5% 62.7% -39.3% 3.01 28.2
3 4Fall In LoveJ · Diaz Angel I · T · Eder Justine 8/1 16.9% 33.6% 50.2% +52.2% 3.43 27.1
4 2My Lucky DeiaJ · Barbaran Erik · T · Baird J Michael 3.5 10.6% 21.1% 31.5% -52.3% 1.23 38.8
5 1LumeniqueJ · Gomez Alejandro · T · Kocijan Boris 20/1 9.6% 18.4% 27.4% +100.8% 3.81 24.1
trifectaTRI: A[7,3,4]/B[7,3,4,2,1,6]/C[7,3,4,2,1,6,5]
$150.00 edge+3.7% kelly0.00%
superfectaSUPER: A[7]/B[3,4,2,1]/C[3,4,2,1]/D[3,4,2,1]
$6.40 edge+3.0% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [7,3,4] BOX
$12.00 edge+1.8% kelly0.00%
R4 8:15 PM ET CLM 4,0006.0FDIRTFT $9K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 6WajdaJ · Negron Luis · T · Silva Juan Pablo 2.5 17.9% 36.4% 54.6% -37.2% 4.07 35.2
2 4Loyal ClementJ · Batista Luis Alberto · T · Gotera Juan Carlos 4.5 15.9% 32.3% 48.5% -12.3% 2.06 36.0
3 2AlignJ · Whitacre Brandon · T · Bernardini Jay P 8/1 12.1% 24.6% 36.8% +9.0% 5.30 27.3
4 8T. L. Copper StillJ · Barbaran Erik · T · Lucas Ted W 10/1 12.0% 24.3% 36.5% +31.8% 4.32 30.0
5 5LetmeknowbeforeugoJ · Oliveros Charle · T · Reed Eric R 3.5 9.4% 18.4% 27.6% -57.7% 2.74 36.0
exactaEX: [6,4,2,8] BOX
$24.00 edge+1.6% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[6,4,2,8]/B[6,4,2,8,5,1,7]/C[6,4,2,8,5,1,7]
$200.00 edge+0.9% kelly0.00%
superfectaSUPER: A[8]/B[6,4,2,5]/C[6,4,2,5]/D[6,4,2,5]
$6.40 edge+0.6% kelly0.00%
R5 8:40 PM ET CLM 4,0005.5FDIRTFT $10K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 4Divine MarthaJ · Whitacre Brandon · T · Bernardini Jay P 5/1 19.2% 38.7% 58.0% +15.0% 9.11 17.6
2 3Shorty MacJ · Radosevich Joshua J · T · Radosevich Shelly R 3/1 18.9% 38.0% 57.1% -24.5% 3.84 29.3
3 1Ante AngelJ · Barrios Ricardo · T · Cluley Denis 8/1 15.7% 31.7% 47.5% +41.2% 1.44 33.4
4 11Fancy PrincessJ · Weatherly Bailey · T · Blankenship Donald T 10/1 10.4% 20.9% 31.4% +14.1% 5.45 25.2
5 2Girl ByeJ · Yaranga Yuri · T · Fletcher Jeff 12/1 10.2% 20.5% 30.7% +32.0% 5.20 30.1
superfectaSUPER: A[1]/B[4,3,11,2]/C[4,3,11,2]/D[4,3,11,2]
$6.40 edge+3.4% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[4,3,1,11]/B[4,3,1,11,2,6,12]/C[4,3,1,11,2,6,12]
$200.00 edge+2.8% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [4,3,1,11] BOX
$24.00 edge+1.4% kelly0.00%
R6 9:05 PM ET MSW5.5FDIRTFT $19K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 2Mia'S MyrigeJ · Barrios Ricardo · T · Demczyk Virginia 2/1 28.6% 58.4% 88.0% -14.2% 2.69 27.1
2 1Pat'S ButtonJ · Parker Deshawn L · T · Lucas Ted W 3.5 28.0% 57.2% 86.3% +26.2% 1.89 29.3
3 3Pigeon CayJ · Monserrate Jr Jorge A · T · Logston Christopher 8/1 12.3% 24.4% 36.3% +11.1% 3.75 21.0
4 6Fifth GearJ · Gomez Alejandro · T · Demczyk Virginia 15/1 11.5% 22.7% 33.8% +83.8% 3.98 20.0
5 7Princess HonorJ · Martinez Miguel L · T · Bouali Wajdi 4.5 7.1% 13.6% 20.2% -61.0% 5.35 19.4
superfectaSUPER: A[1]/B[2,3,6,7]/C[2,3,6,7]/D[2,3,6,7]
$6.40 edge+2.5% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[2,1,3]/B[2,1,3,6,7,5]/C[2,1,3,6,7,5,4]
$150.00 edge+2.0% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [2,1,3] BOX
$12.00 edge+1.2% kelly0.00%
R7 9:30 PM ET ALW8.0FDIRTFT $20K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 8Premier CruJ · Monserrate Jr Jorge A · T · Vazquez Juan C 2.5 20.7% 42.7% 64.7% -27.6% 5.66 29.0
2 6Hey Batter BatterJ · Parker Deshawn L · T · Lucas Ted W 3.5 20.0% 39.9% 59.8% -10.1% 4.18 34.2
3 5Hot WingsJ · Tapara Luis · T · Bernardini Jay P 5/1 15.8% 31.6% 47.2% -5.3% 5.40 30.6
4 7Essential Wild CatJ · Gonzalez Santiago · T · Stephen Anthony 8/1 12.1% 24.2% 36.1% +8.7% 5.72 30.3
5 2It Takes A CowboyJ · Barbaran Erik · T · Lucas Ted W 20/1 12.0% 24.0% 35.9% +151.7% 5.65 29.2
exactaEX: [8,6,5] BOX
$12.00 edge+2.1% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[8,6,5]/B[8,6,5,7,2,3]/C[8,6,5,7,2,3,4]
$150.00 edge+2.1% kelly0.00%
superfectaSUPER: A[2]/B[8,6,5,7]/C[8,6,5,7]/D[8,6,5,7]
$6.40 edge+2.0% kelly0.00%
R8 9:55 PM ET CLM 4,0005.0FDIRTFT $9K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 11Royal CurlinJ · Negron Luis · T · Silva Juan Pablo 2.5 22.8% 47.3% 71.7% -20.4% 3.84 33.9
2 10TapsolutionJ · Garcia Francisco · T · Bernardini Jay P 8/1 13.3% 26.8% 40.2% +20.0% 4.89 35.9
3 5Optimistic NateJ · Stokes Joe · T · Shanley Timothy 6/1 11.1% 22.4% 33.6% -22.0% 2.67 41.0
4 4Surprise BossJ · Oliveros Charle · T · Vazquez Juan C 12/1 10.3% 20.8% 31.1% +34.1% 1.50 45.1
5 8Brother SkyeJ · Whitacre Brandon · T · Langley Carrol S 15/1 9.4% 18.3% 27.3% +50.0% 9.50 21.4
superfectaSUPER: A[10]/B[11,5,4,8]/C[11,5,4,8]/D[11,5,4,8]
$6.40 edge+10.3% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[11,10,5,4]/B[11,10,5,4,8,2,1]/C[11,10,5,4,8,2,1]
$200.00 edge+3.9% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [11,10,5,4] BOX
$24.00 edge+2.8% kelly0.00%
PRX
Parx RacingFirst post 12:40 PM ET · 9 races · Exotics →
model vlatest·top 5 per race
R1 12:40 PM ET CLM 12,5008.0FDIRTFT $23K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5Accelerated DatingJ · Hernandez Julio A · T · Catalano Jr Michael L 4/1 19.6% 39.4% 59.1% -1.8% 2.40 41.4
2 7Carlin ContentionJ · Vargas Jr Jorge A · T · Padilla Esteban 3.5 19.4% 39.0% 58.5% -12.6% 5.14 29.3
3 1The Tire ManJ · Lopez Paco · T · Linder Jr Louis C 3/1 18.4% 36.9% 55.4% -26.4% 4.40 31.8
4 4Week'S StrongJ · Hazlewood Yedsit · T · Gallimore Trevor 4.5 16.3% 32.6% 48.9% -10.6% 2.87 37.9
5 2It'S AuthenticJ · Adorno Abner · T · Perez Ruperto A 6/1 15.1% 30.4% 45.6% +6.0% 2.47 40.2
superfectaSUPER: A[5]/B[7,1,4,2]/C[7,1,4,2]/D[7,1,4,2]
$6.40 edge+0.5% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[5,7,4]/B[5,7,4,1,2,6]/C[5,7,4,1,2,6,3]
$150.00 edge+0.3% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [5,7,4] BOX
$12.00 edge+0.2% kelly0.00%
R2 1:07 PM ET CLM 5,0006.0FDIRTFT $18K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 4SofsterJ · Aguilar Jean · T · Ramirez Silvino 4/1 23.5% 47.8% 72.0% +17.7% 1.62 51.8
2 6I Believe In MagicJ · Silvera Ruben · T · Diaz Jorge 2/1 22.8% 46.2% 69.6% -31.7% 3.43 37.2
3 5Take Time To DreamJ · Hazlewood Yedsit · T · Rodriguez Irving 5/1 20.8% 42.2% 63.6% +24.7% 6.15 21.8
4 3Spirited RideJ · Ocasio Luis M · T · Rodriguez Miguel A 3/1 18.2% 35.8% 53.3% -27.1% 3.79 31.5
5 1FuhgeddabouditJ · Gonzalez Silvestre · T · Noble James F 6/1 7.4% 14.0% 20.8% -48.4% 1.72 46.6
superfectaSUPER: A[4]/B[6,5,3,1]/C[6,5,3,1]/D[6,5,3,1]
$6.40 edge+1.5% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[4,6,5]/B[4,6,5,3,1,2]/C[4,6,5,3,1,2,7]
$150.00 edge+1.4% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [4,6,5] BOX
$12.00 edge+0.9% kelly0.00%
R3 1:34 PM ET MSW8.0FDIRTFT $19K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 2Soo HandsomeJ · Luna Paul A · T · Strauss Beverly 2/1 24.4% 50.2% 75.9% -26.8% 3.46 30.0
2 5Winning SongJ · Haddock Dexter · T · Solis Jacinto 2.5 19.6% 39.0% 58.4% -31.3% 1.63 41.1
3 1Gunman JayvoJ · Sanchez Mychel J · T · St Lewis Uriah 3.5 18.2% 36.3% 54.2% -18.0% 3.68 28.7
4 6Little SneckdrawJ · Rangel Joezer · T · Martin Ramon F 8/1 15.4% 30.6% 45.8% +38.6% 1.92 38.7
5 3Two Dollar BillJ · Hazlewood Yedsit · T · Arce Josue 5/1 14.3% 28.5% 42.6% -14.0% 5.18 19.5
exactaEX: [2,5] BOX
$4.00 edge+0.5% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[2,5]/B[2,5,1,6,3]/C[2,5,1,6,3,4]
$64.00 edge+0.5% kelly0.00%
R4 2:01 PM ET CLM 7,5006.0FDIRTFT $21K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5Be My QueenJ · Hazlewood Yedsit · T · Curry Dee 2/1 23.6% 48.5% 73.5% -29.2% 4.47 28.3
2 2BrowneyedvalentineJ · Martinez Francisco · T · Brown Jr Howard R 6/1 19.2% 38.2% 57.1% +34.3% 1.12 50.5
3 1Celtic TigerJ · Wolfsont Andrew · T · Arce Josue 2.5 18.2% 36.2% 54.2% -36.3% 3.77 34.1
4 4Rose Of SharonJ · Gonzalez Silvestre · T · King Clarence B 6/1 15.8% 31.4% 47.0% +10.6% 2.01 39.2
5 3ShudabeenacowgirlJ · Castillo Angel · T · Gallimore Trevor 3.5 15.0% 29.8% 44.5% -32.7% 3.72 26.1
R5 2:28 PM ET CLM 16,0006.0FDIRTFT $26K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 2SoundsmischievousJ · Lopez Paco · T · Linder Jr Louis C 4/1 20.2% 41.5% 62.9% +1.2% 1.05 55.1
2 7ByebyejealouseyeJ · Pennington Frankie · T · Kirby John T 3.5 16.1% 32.0% 47.9% -27.5% 5.98 26.4
3 6Silver City KittyJ · Sanchez Mychel J · T · Mosco Robert 6/1 15.1% 30.0% 44.9% +5.8% 4.35 30.9
4 1AllenhurstJ · Castillo Angel · T · Castillo Jr Angel 5/1 13.2% 26.2% 39.2% -20.9% 3.04 33.1
5 3Angel Of HopeJ · Adorno Abner · T · Padilla Hugo O 4.5 12.2% 24.2% 36.2% -32.9% 6.01 27.4
trifectaTRI: A[2,7,6]/B[2,7,6,1,3,4]/C[2,7,6,1,3,4,5]
$150.00 edge+0.4% kelly0.00%
superfectaSUPER: A[2]/B[7,6,1,3]/C[7,6,1,3]/D[7,6,1,3]
$6.40 edge+0.4% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [2,7,6] BOX
$12.00 edge+0.3% kelly0.00%
R6 2:55 PM ET CLM 7,5008.5FDIRTFT $21K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 7Donnelly'S HollowJ · Vargas Jr Jorge A · T · Padilla-Preciado E 3/1 21.9% 45.6% 69.0% -12.2% 1.16 55.4
2 1Carry GrantJ · Rivera Dalila A · T · Tapsas Ilias 6/1 13.6% 27.3% 40.8% -5.0% 4.31 40.3
3 6Smooth MotionJ · Aguilar Jean · T · Martinez Alexander 4/1 13.5% 27.2% 40.6% -32.5% 7.13 33.6
4 8Desert AireJ · Rangel Joezer · T · Solis Jacinto 5/1 13.1% 26.4% 39.5% -21.2% 7.97 23.2
5 2Evasive MovesJ · Sanchez Mychel J · T · St Lewis Uriah 15/1 9.2% 17.9% 26.7% +46.9% 3.02 45.6
exactaEX: [7,1,6] BOX
$12.00 edge+1.7% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[7,1,6]/B[7,1,6,8,2,5]/C[7,1,6,8,2,5,3]
$150.00 edge+0.8% kelly0.00%
superfectaSUPER: A[7]/B[1,6,8,2]/C[1,6,8,2]/D[1,6,8,2]
$6.40 edge+0.8% kelly0.00%
R7 3:22 PM ET CLM 10,0007.0FDIRTFT $26K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5Et'S Moon MaidenJ · Sanchez Mychel J · T · Aristone Philip T 3.5 27.8% 56.9% 86.0% +25.2% 2.74 41.8
2 7Sister EveJ · Ocasio Luis M · T · Santaella-Calderon J 3/1 20.6% 42.2% 63.6% -17.6% 4.29 30.5
3 6Ree Nee'S SixJ · Rodriguez Yan · T · Brown Jr Howard R 10/1 16.4% 32.5% 48.5% +80.4% 2.23 47.3
4 2StassiJ · Rangel Joezer · T · Aristone Philip T 6/1 15.3% 30.3% 45.2% +7.2% 5.66 20.5
5 4Moor StrengthJ · Martinez Francisco · T · Badillo-Casado J 5/1 9.9% 19.1% 28.4% -40.3% 1.34 50.9
superfectaSUPER: A[5]/B[7,6,2,4]/C[7,6,2,4]/D[7,6,2,4]
$6.40 edge+4.0% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[5,7,6]/B[5,7,6,2,4,3]/C[5,7,6,2,4,3,1]
$150.00 edge+2.7% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [5,7,6] BOX
$12.00 edge+1.5% kelly0.00%
R8 3:49 PM ET CLM 16,0009.5FDIRTFT $28K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5Bob John RayJ · Sanchez Mychel J · T · Mosco Robert 3.5 20.0% 40.2% 60.2% -10.2% 2.47 57.1
2 4Devil'S CayJ · Hazlewood Yedsit · T · Ness Jamie 4/1 19.2% 38.6% 58.0% -4.0% 4.04 46.0
3 1Preach It WarriorJ · Silvera Ruben · T · Padilla Esteban 5/1 17.2% 34.6% 51.9% +3.2% 2.38 62.3
4 7Mucho MojoJ · Vargas Jr Jorge A · T · Padilla-Preciado E 5/1 14.6% 29.4% 44.2% -12.2% 5.67 32.8
5 2Cody PassJ · Ocasio Luis M · T · Rodriguez Irving 10/1 11.1% 22.4% 33.6% +22.5% 7.39 25.4
R9 4:16 PM ET MSW6.0FDIRTFT $19K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 5She'S BankableJ · Silvera Ruben · T · Morey William E 3/1 19.2% 39.1% 58.7% -23.1% 5.37 28.7
2 1Dress Like CocoJ · Rodriguez Yan · T · Servis J Tyler 4/1 16.4% 33.5% 50.2% -17.8% 5.56 25.7
3 8Panama LimitedJ · Martinez Francisco · T · Lake Scott A 6/1 11.8% 24.1% 36.1% -17.2% 2.71 32.5
4 4Pom PomJ · Rivera Dalila A · T · Rodriguez Miguel A 10/1 8.9% 17.5% 26.2% -2.4% 7.39 18.6 (2pp)
5 7Izzy'S Rock StarJ · Lopez Paco · T · Simoff Andrew L 6/1 8.4% 16.6% 24.9% -41.0% 1.32 43.6
TDN
ThistledownFirst post 12:50 PM ET · 8 races · Exotics →
model vlatest·top 5 per race
R1 12:50 PM ET CLM 5,0008.0FDIRTFT $12K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 6Law Of The JungleJ · Bracho Jose A · T · Calderon Ivan 4.5 31.1% 64.8% 97.7% +71.1% 4.60 24.4
2 4Agnello'S DreamJ · Skerrett Jefferson · T · Skerrett Jeffrey 10/1 27.6% 55.7% 83.9% +203.6% 4.75 24.4
3 3Sight UnseenJ · Bowen Rocco · T · Ray Kevin 2/1 13.5% 26.4% 39.3% -59.5% 2.00 34.5
4 2Candy CrushemJ · Gonzalez Luis Antonio · T · Shanyfelt Valerie K 3/1 10.4% 20.4% 30.3% -58.3% 3.02 29.9
5 1Succession GoldJ · Batista Luis Alberto · T · Langley Joshua 4/1 8.4% 15.9% 23.7% -57.8% 3.08 29.7
R2 1:20 PM ET MSW5.5FDIRTFT $11K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 4EnzitoJ · Skerrett Jefferson · T · Skerrett Jeffrey 3/1 31.3% 65.2% 98.3% +25.4% 2.87 27.0
2 7Go CollectorJ · Batista Luis Alberto · T · Juarez-Mendoza Rey 6/1 23.3% 46.9% 70.7% +62.8% 3.40 27.4
3 3Union SwagJ · Cedillo Mauro · T · Johnson Gary L 5/1 15.3% 29.9% 44.6% -7.9% 4.46 21.3
4 2Trouble Or NothinJ · Vigil Noel · T · Morales Saul M 4/1 10.5% 20.5% 30.6% -47.4% 2.45 28.8
5 5Gunn'S RoarJ · Radosevich Joshua J · T · Radosevich Jeffrey A 2/1 10.3% 20.1% 30.0% -69.1% 4.39 26.0
superfectaSUPER: A[4]/B[7,3,2,5]/C[7,3,2,5]/D[7,3,2,5]
$6.40 edge+11.8% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[4,7,3]/B[4,7,3,2,5,1]/C[4,7,3,2,5,1,6]
$150.00 edge+5.0% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [4,7,3] BOX
$12.00 edge+2.0% kelly0.00%
R3 1:50 PM ET CLM 12,5008.0FDIRTFT $16K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 8IneedyoubabeJ · Rivera Luis Raul · T · Farrior Anthony 2/1 21.2% 43.8% 66.3% -36.5% 2.34 35.7
2 7Curls Nite OutJ · Fernandez Victor R · T · Cline Robert C 3/1 19.0% 38.0% 56.9% -24.1% 3.71 31.3
3 4LubuJ · Chavez Alexander · T · Rivera Nestor R 5/1 17.0% 34.1% 51.0% +2.0% 3.29 34.1
4 1Worldly BeautyJ · Centeno Alexis · T · Rivera Nestor R 4/1 15.9% 31.9% 47.8% -20.4% 6.51 21.5
5 6Late Nite LizzieJ · Bracho Jose A · T · Juarez-Mendoza Rey 12/1 9.4% 18.2% 27.3% +22.3% 5.87 24.7
pick3P3 R3->R5: [8,7,4] / [1,3,2] / [4,1,6]
$54.00 hit prob36.2%
daily_doubleDD R3->R4 [top2-box]: [8,7] / [1,3]
$8.00 hit prob22.7%
exactaEX: [8,7,4] BOX
$12.00 edge+1.1% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[8,7,4]/B[8,7,4,1,6,2]/C[8,7,4,1,6,2,5]
$150.00 edge+0.8% kelly0.00%
superfectaSUPER: A[4]/B[8,7,1,6]/C[8,7,1,6]/D[8,7,1,6]
$6.40 edge+0.5% kelly0.00%
R4 2:20 PM ET MSW5.5FDIRTFT $18K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 1Truest AirJ · Rivera Luis Raul · T · Rone Michael L 2/1 29.4% 59.8% 89.9% -11.7% 5.39 8.0
2 3Bobber'S RocketJ · Salazar Becerra F · T · Zielinski Richard 1.8 27.0% 54.8% 82.4% -24.4% 5.18 10.4
3 2Mo Don'T StopJ · Fernandez Victor R · T · Zielinski Richard 4.5 20.1% 40.8% 61.4% +10.6% 5.36 9.4
4 5Oak MirnaJ · Rodriguez Anthony · T · Atala Jose 12/1 7.7% 14.6% 21.7% +0.1% 1.49 47.9
5 4Miz BiondettiJ · Keiser Chelsey · T · Vazquez Ivan 5/1 7.1% 13.6% 20.1% -57.2% 3.12 25.0 (0pp)
pick3P3 R4->R6: [1,3,2] / [4,1,6] / [1,2,6]
$54.00 hit prob30.7%
daily_doubleDD R4->R5 [top2-box]: [1,3] / [4,1]
$8.00 hit prob37.1%
superfectaSUPER: A[2]/B[1,3,5,4]/C[1,3,5,4]/D[1,3,5,4]
$6.40 edge+1.6% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[1,3,2]/B[1,3,2,5,4,6]/C[1,3,2,5,4,6,7]
$150.00 edge+1.0% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [1,3,2] BOX
$12.00 edge+0.5% kelly0.00%
R5 2:50 PM ET CLM 50,0006.0FDIRTFT $34K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 4Perfect AngelJ · Batista Luis Alberto · T · Dacosta Jason 1.6 34.6% 70.8% 100.0% -10.1% 2.43 38.7
2 1It'S Browns TimeJ · Keiser Chelsey · T · Guciardo Robert 2.5 31.2% 63.8% 96.1% +9.1% 3.78 30.6
3 6Perfect DateJ · Bracho Jose A · T · Poole Joseph M 12/1 17.0% 32.7% 48.7% +121.6% 2.81 34.9
4 5Countess ColetteJ · Bowen Rocco · T · Fadlovich Megan 2/1 11.9% 22.8% 33.9% -64.4% 1.53 42.1
5 2Hot PrincessJ · Cedillo Mauro · T · Lopez Jacinto 8/1 2.9% 5.3% 7.9% -74.3% 5.15 22.1
pick3P3 R5->R7: [4,1,6] / [1,2,6] / [4,2,6]
$54.00 hit prob28.0%
daily_doubleDD R5->R6 [top2-box]: [4,1] / [1,2]
$8.00 hit prob23.4%
superfectaSUPER: A[6]/B[4,1,5,2]/C[4,1,5,2]/D[4,1,5,2]
$6.40 edge+4.6% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[4,1]/B[4,1,6,5,2]/C[4,1,6,5,2,3]
$64.00 edge+4.3% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [4,1] BOX
$4.00 edge+2.5% kelly0.00%
R6 3:20 PM ET CLM 50,0006.0FDIRTFT $34K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 1Glory ReignsJ · Salazar Becerra F · T · Higham Nicole 3.5 18.5% 37.3% 56.0% -16.5% 2.66 37.1
2 2OvidJ · Keiser Chelsey · T · Wolochuk David 2.5 17.1% 34.4% 51.6% -40.2% 6.28 28.7
3 6Run Red RunJ · Tapara Brandon · T · Cline Robert C 10/1 12.7% 25.6% 38.4% +40.1% 8.33 21.2
4 9DreamingabouttimeJ · Gonzalez Santiago · T · Fernandez Edward 8/1 11.4% 22.9% 34.3% +2.3% 4.43 30.8
5 8Sadie'S Silver KidJ · Rodriguez Anthony · T · Rettele Richard J 6/1 11.1% 22.4% 33.6% -22.0% 7.02 27.2
trifectaTRI: A[1,2,6]/B[1,2,6,9,8,3]/C[1,2,6,9,8,3,7]
$150.00 edge+2.3% kelly0.00%
superfectaSUPER: A[1]/B[2,6,9,8]/C[2,6,9,8]/D[2,6,9,8]
$6.40 edge+1.9% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [1,2,6] BOX
$12.00 edge+1.8% kelly0.00%
R7 3:50 PM ET ALW5.5FDIRTFT $35K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 4InstigationJ · Bowen Rocco · T · Pappada Julie A 1.8 29.1% 59.4% 89.6% -18.5% 1.11 46.6
2 2SaltmakeshersweetJ · Skerrett Jefferson · T · Johnson Gary L 2/1 24.5% 50.0% 75.4% -26.5% 3.43 33.8
3 6Parlay CharlieJ · Feliciano Ricardo · T · Meyers Shane 3.5 16.3% 32.1% 47.8% -26.9% 3.22 30.5
4 1Credit CheckJ · Tapara Brandon · T · Zielinski Richard 6/1 15.6% 30.7% 45.8% +8.9% 2.97 32.6
5 3Bourbon N BlushJ · Rivera Luis Raul · T · Meyers Shane 10/1 8.3% 15.8% 23.6% -8.8% 5.73 14.6
daily_doubleDD R7->R8 [top2-box]: [4,2] / [7,6]
$8.00 hit prob21.9%
trifectaTRI: A[4,2]/B[4,2,6,1,3]/C[4,2,6,1,3,5]
$64.00 edge+0.4% kelly0.00%
superfectaSUPER: A[1]/B[4,2,6,3]/C[4,2,6,3]/D[4,2,6,3]
$6.40 edge+0.4% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [4,2] BOX
$4.00 edge+0.3% kelly0.00%
R8 4:20 PM ET CLM 7,5005.5FDIRTFT $14K Exotics →
Rank Horse ML W% P% S% Edge xFin Rtg
★ 1 7Zippin GigiJ · Fernandez Victor R · T · Juarez-Mendoza Rey 3/1 20.9% 42.7% 64.5% -16.5% 4.18 37.6
2 6OlegJ · Rivera Luis Raul · T · Farrior Anthony 4.5 20.1% 41.0% 61.9% +10.3% 3.68 35.9
3 4Harbour BridgeJ · Batista Luis Alberto · T · Sweeting Craig 5/1 15.7% 31.0% 46.2% -6.1% 4.13 32.5
4 1Big AmadeusJ · Skerrett Jefferson · T · Skerrett Jeffrey 12/1 13.2% 26.1% 39.0% +71.7% 5.12 29.6
5 5Grand BeyJ · Radosevich Joshua J · T · Poole Joseph M 12/1 10.7% 21.1% 31.5% +38.8% 5.19 28.9
superfectaSUPER: A[6]/B[7,4,1,5]/C[7,4,1,5]/D[7,4,1,5]
$6.40 edge+6.2% kelly0.00%
trifectaTRI: A[7,6,4]/B[7,6,4,1,5,3]/C[7,6,4,1,5,3,2]
$150.00 edge+2.7% kelly0.00%
exactaEX: [7,6,4] BOX
$12.00 edge+2.4% kelly0.00%

Why these picks?