Experimental Bets of the Day — 2026-04-28
Status: exploratory, $1-base only. Slice 6 multi-leg wagers are RECOMMENDED-only in v1; 2023 backtest shows DD ROI is negative overall, but top_2_box flips IND positive. P3 payouts not yet ingested — no validated ROI floor.
Daily Doubles (top-2 box, $4 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Legs |
Hit Prob |
Note |
| FP R3 → R4 |
[1,5] / [5,1] |
38.5% |
|
| TDN R2 → R3 |
[1,5] / [3,2] |
32.6% |
|
| FP R2 → R3 |
[6,2] / [1,5] |
32.4% |
|
| FP R4 → R5 |
[5,1] / [2,6] |
30.7% |
|
| FP R1 → R2 |
[4,6] / [6,2] |
26.9% |
|
Pick 3s (3×3×3 box, $27 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Structure |
Hit Prob |
| FP R2-3-4 |
[6,2,5] / [1,5,2] / [5,1,2] |
45.5% |
| FP R3-4-5 |
[1,5,2] / [5,1,2] / [2,6,5] |
44.2% |
| FP R1-2-3 |
[4,6,2] / [6,2,5] / [1,5,2] |
39.4% |
| FL R1-2-3 |
[1,3,5] / [4,5,3] / [4,5,3] |
36.1% |
| FL R2-3-4 |
[4,5,3] / [4,5,3] / [1,5,3] |
32.6% |
Why these are experimental
- Horizontal multi-leg (DD/P3) remains
RECOMMENDED-only in v1. Backtest DD ROI overall is −47.6% on coverage, −42.9% on top_2_box.
top_2_box is only broadly positive at IND; other tracks are break-even to negative. Use per-track judgment before committing real capital.- P3 payouts not ingested yet (
fast_chart_ingest needs the pick3_payout column filled) — the backtest reports 0% hit-rate artifactually, so the true P3 edge is unmeasured.
- Recommended use: $1 base, track CLV + hit rate for calibration.