Experimental Bets of the Day — 2026-04-26
Status: exploratory, $1-base only. Slice 6 multi-leg wagers are RECOMMENDED-only in v1; 2023 backtest shows DD ROI is negative overall, but top_2_box flips IND positive. P3 payouts not yet ingested — no validated ROI floor.
Daily Doubles (top-2 box, $4 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Legs |
Hit Prob |
Note |
| CMR R1 → R2 |
[1,4] / [5,3] |
43.3% |
|
| CMR R2 → R3 |
[5,3] / [3,5] |
30.1% |
|
| HAW R1 → R2 |
[2,4] / [1,3] |
27.0% |
|
| HAW R4 → R5 |
[2,3] / [5,4] |
26.5% |
|
| SA R1 → R2 |
[2,4] / [3,2] |
26.0% |
|
Pick 3s (3×3×3 box, $27 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Structure |
Hit Prob |
| CMR R1-2-3 |
[1,4,3] / [5,3,1] / [3,5,2] |
51.4% |
| CMR R2-3-4 |
[5,3,1] / [3,5,2] / [2,5,3] |
39.6% |
| HAW R1-2-3 |
[2,4,1] / [1,3,4] / [1,3,4] |
35.7% |
| HAW R4-5-6 |
[2,3,5] / [5,4,3] / [5,1,3] |
34.4% |
| WO R1-2-3 |
[2,3,6] / [1,2,5] / [3,2,5] |
32.1% |
Why these are experimental
- Horizontal multi-leg (DD/P3) remains
RECOMMENDED-only in v1. Backtest DD ROI overall is −47.6% on coverage, −42.9% on top_2_box.
top_2_box is only broadly positive at IND; other tracks are break-even to negative. Use per-track judgment before committing real capital.- P3 payouts not ingested yet (
fast_chart_ingest needs the pick3_payout column filled) — the backtest reports 0% hit-rate artifactually, so the true P3 edge is unmeasured.
- Recommended use: $1 base, track CLV + hit rate for calibration.