Experimental Bets of the Day — 2026-04-25
Status: exploratory, $1-base only. Slice 6 multi-leg wagers are RECOMMENDED-only in v1; 2023 backtest shows DD ROI is negative overall, but top_2_box flips IND positive. P3 payouts not yet ingested — no validated ROI floor.
Daily Doubles (top-2 box, $4 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Legs |
Hit Prob |
Note |
| SA R2 → R3 |
[1,2] / [3,4] |
30.9% |
|
| FP R3 → R4 |
[5,6] / [6,5] |
30.6% |
|
| TUP R3 → R4 |
[1,5] / [2,4] |
30.3% |
|
| CMR R2 → R3 |
[3,4] / [2,3] |
28.2% |
|
| FP R2 → R3 |
[4,2] / [5,6] |
27.7% |
|
Pick 3s (3×3×3 box, $27 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Structure |
Hit Prob |
| TUP R3-4-5 |
[1,5,4] / [2,4,5] / [3,1,5] |
41.7% |
| FP R2-3-4 |
[4,2,3] / [5,6,2] / [6,5,1] |
33.7% |
| FP R1-2-3 |
[3,1,2] / [4,2,3] / [5,6,2] |
33.7% |
| CMR R2-3-4 |
[3,4,2] / [2,3,5] / [1,4,5] |
32.8% |
| WO R3-4-5 |
[1,3,2] / [6,2,1] / [1,3,4] |
31.1% |
Why these are experimental
- Horizontal multi-leg (DD/P3) remains
RECOMMENDED-only in v1. Backtest DD ROI overall is −47.6% on coverage, −42.9% on top_2_box.
top_2_box is only broadly positive at IND; other tracks are break-even to negative. Use per-track judgment before committing real capital.- P3 payouts not ingested yet (
fast_chart_ingest needs the pick3_payout column filled) — the backtest reports 0% hit-rate artifactually, so the true P3 edge is unmeasured.
- Recommended use: $1 base, track CLV + hit rate for calibration.