Experimental Bets of the Day — 2026-04-23
Status: exploratory, $1-base only. Slice 6 multi-leg wagers are RECOMMENDED-only in v1; 2023 backtest shows DD ROI is negative overall, but top_2_box flips IND positive. P3 payouts not yet ingested — no validated ROI floor.
Daily Doubles (top-2 box, $4 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Legs |
Hit Prob |
Note |
| CMR R3 → R4 |
[3,5] / [7,1] |
84.0% |
|
| CCP R4 → R5 |
[5,4] / [6,5] |
81.7% |
|
| TDN R4 → R5 |
[3,2] / [3,5] |
81.6% |
|
| OP R7 → R8 |
[5,4] / [6,5] |
80.9% |
|
| HAW R4 → R5 |
[1,2] / [5,1] |
77.5% |
|
Pick 3s (3×3×3 box, $27 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Structure |
Hit Prob |
| TDN R3-4-5 |
[6,1,4] / [3,2,1] / [3,5,7] |
87.9% |
| TDN R2-3-4 |
[6,4,2] / [6,1,4] / [3,2,1] |
85.2% |
| OP R7-8-9 |
[5,4,7] / [6,5,1] / [9,2,8] |
84.1% |
| HAW R5-6-7 |
[5,1,3] / [1,3,2] / [5,3,4] |
83.2% |
| HAW R4-5-6 |
[1,2,3] / [5,1,3] / [1,3,2] |
81.3% |
Why these are experimental
- Horizontal multi-leg (DD/P3) remains
RECOMMENDED-only in v1. Backtest DD ROI overall is −47.6% on coverage, −42.9% on top_2_box.
top_2_box is only broadly positive at IND; other tracks are break-even to negative. Use per-track judgment before committing real capital.- P3 payouts not ingested yet (
fast_chart_ingest needs the pick3_payout column filled) — the backtest reports 0% hit-rate artifactually, so the true P3 edge is unmeasured.
- Recommended use: $1 base, track CLV + hit rate for calibration.