Experimental Bets of the Day — 2026-04-22
Status: exploratory, $1-base only. Slice 6 multi-leg wagers are RECOMMENDED-only in v1; backtest shows DD ROI is negative overall, but top-2 box flips IND positive. P3 payouts not yet ingested — no validated ROI floor.
Daily Doubles (top-2 box, $4 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Legs |
Hit Prob |
Note |
| IND R2 → R3 |
[2,3] / [2,5] |
22.4% |
Only track with positive DD backtest under top_2_box |
| PRX R3 → R4 |
[4,6] / [4,2] |
21.6% |
Cathedral Aisle 1.6 ML anchor — thin payout |
| TDN R7 → R8 |
[5,2] / [3,1] |
20.3% |
All four legs ≤ 2.5 ML |
Pick 3s (3×3 box, $27 per ticket)
| Sequence |
Structure |
Hit Prob |
| PRX R3-4-5 |
[4,6,5] / [4,2,1] / [6,2,1] |
23.7% |
| IND R1-2-3 |
[4,1,8] / [2,3,4] / [2,5,3] |
23.2% |
| TDN R5-6-7 |
[4,6,3] / [1,3,7] / [5,2,4] |
21.8% |
Why these are experimental
- Favorite-favorite chains with short morning lines; backtest flags the exact pattern as −48% ROI on coverage strategy.
- No live overlay conviction — top win/exacta edge on the card is 4.7% (KEE R1).
- Recommended as learning data, not bankroll plays. Use $1 base, track CLV and hit rate for calibration.